๐Ÿ“ Our Methodology

How Ilystics predicts site trafficability

Overview

Ilystics combines real-time weather data, soil science, and proprietary algorithms to predict when construction sites will be too muddy to work. Our system analyzes multiple factors to give you accurate, actionable forecasts.

Core Principles

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Recent Precipitation Analysis

We track rainfall over the past 7 days, with heavier rain events having greater impact on soil saturation and drying time.

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Soil Type Classification

Different soils drain at different rates. Clay soils hold water longest, while sandy and gravelly soils drain quickly. We account for your site's specific soil characteristics.

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Seasonal & Temperature Effects

Drying rates vary significantly by season. Winter conditions slow evaporation, while summer heat accelerates drying. We also account for frozen ground conditions.

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Cumulative Saturation Modeling

Our system tracks antecedent moistureโ€”meaning multiple rain events compound to increase drying time beyond what a single event would cause.

Data Sources

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Open-Meteo Weather API

High-resolution weather data aggregated from NOAA, ECMWF, and other national weather services

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USDA NRCS Soil Survey

Official soil classification data from the Natural Resources Conservation Service

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NOAA Radar (Premium)

Real-time precipitation radar for current conditions monitoring

Two Analysis Modes

๐Ÿ“ˆ Historical Estimator

Uses 5-10 year climate data to estimate statistically likely delay days per month. Perfect for planning and budgeting future projects.

Risk Classification

Workable Minimal to no drying time required
Caution Light work may be possible, heavy equipment at risk
Mud Likely High risk of equipment bogging, work not recommended
Try the Estimator

© 2026 Ilystics. All Rights Reserved.

Our predictive algorithms and analytical methods are proprietary to Ilystics.